Democrat leads Polls in Special Election (in Georgia)

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fflambeau
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Democrat leads Polls in Special Election (in Georgia)

Postby fflambeau » Thu Mar 30, 2017 9:27 pm

It's got to have the GOP and Donald Trump worried. A progressive Democrat, Jon Ossoff, leads in the special election for the 6th Congressional District (part of Atlanta, Georgia). The opening resulted when Tom Price left his seat to join in the Trump Team (note that Price was and had been a Washington, D.C. insider for years!).

The good news is that the Democrats lead in polls for the congressional opening. This will essentially be seen as a referendum on Trump's first 3 months in office (the special election is on 18 April). Ossoff's campaign slogan: "We can be a strong, prosperous, secure nation and STAY TRUE TO THE CORE AMERICAN VALUES THAT UNITE US." (emphasis his (by way of color) )

Here's (1) a link to a story about it; and (2) a link to Ossoff's campaign page.

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/03/g ... off-236703

Roy
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Re: Democrat leads Polls in Special Election (in Georgia)

Postby Roy » Thu Mar 30, 2017 11:51 pm

fflambeau wrote:This will essentially be seen as a referendum on Trump's first 3 months in office (the special election is on 18 April).

No it will not be seen as any kind of referendum? Where do you pull this stuff out of?

It is an election, mostly affected ( as all races are ) on local politics.

Ned Flounders
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Re: Democrat leads Polls in Special Election (in Georgia)

Postby Ned Flounders » Fri Mar 31, 2017 6:14 am

fflambeau wrote:The good news is that the Democrats lead in polls for the congressional opening. This will essentially be seen as a referendum on Trump's first 3 months in office (the special election is on 18 April).

That is a heavily Republican district - it was Newt Gingrich's old seat, and Price won last time by like 20 points. My guess is that Ossoff will comfortably win the first round but fall short of 50%, so there will be a runoff, and with only one Republican in the runoff the district's normal partisan leanings will keep the district in the Red column.

There are a few promising signals. The polling looks good. Ossoff has benefited from an immense outpouring of small individual donations, presumably from people who are sick of Trump and the GOP. And the fact that the National Republican Campaign Committee is suddenly pouring resources into this race is, paradoxically, good news: it suggests that the GOP has internal polling data suggesting that Ossoff could actually win the first round outright.

http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/ ... rgia-sixth

I doubt that will happen, though. The district is just too heavily Republican. It's amazing to see how well a Democratic candidate is doing in that district, and yes, that's a sign of the times, but he probably won't win in the end.


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